Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.130095 0.145162 0.161853 0.181819 0.205195 0.231870 0.264861
2024-10-27 0.105862 0.125227 0.148454 0.178767 0.217887 0.267542 0.336787
2024-11-03 0.093824 0.116333 0.145153 0.185667 0.242697 0.322657 0.448243
2024-11-10 0.084487 0.108772 0.141564 0.190632 0.265135 0.379509 0.580932
2024-11-17 0.075071 0.099433 0.133692 0.187529 0.274445 0.418451 0.699093
2024-11-24 0.067225 0.091109 0.125827 0.182668 0.279381 0.450811 0.817748
2024-12-01 0.059459 0.081947 0.115445 0.171996 0.272163 0.459394 0.892105
2024-12-08 0.055285 0.077628 0.111835 0.171632 0.282601 0.503552 1.065065
2024-12-15 0.052751 0.075498 0.111323 0.176285 0.303024 0.573634 1.341354
2024-12-22 0.048680 0.070563 0.105686 0.170980 0.302858 0.598786 1.509877
2024-12-29 0.047124 0.069485 0.106305 0.177136 0.327296 0.689171 1.949156
2025-01-05 0.044425 0.066295 0.102965 0.175252 0.334010 0.737635 2.286097
2025-01-12 0.042343 0.064053 0.101216 0.176576 0.349104 0.817012 2.847157
2025-01-19 0.039560 0.060424 0.096669 0.171681 0.348723 0.852765 3.262951
2025-01-26 0.038455 0.059594 0.097145 0.177322 0.375737 0.986263 4.429213
2025-02-02 0.037257 0.058496 0.096994 0.181585 0.400435 1.126566 5.993066
2025-02-09 0.035314 0.055918 0.093761 0.178501 0.404375 1.193852 7.204212
2025-02-16 0.033370 0.053212 0.090056 0.173873 0.403000 1.240708 8.405205
2025-02-23 0.031002 0.049597 0.084302 0.163841 0.383883 1.205916 8.656020
2025-03-02 0.029829 0.048119 0.082702 0.163486 0.394003 1.305679 11.009043
2025-03-09 0.029209 0.047624 0.083035 0.167841 0.419976 1.497922 16.079150
2025-03-16 0.027744 0.045452 0.079764 0.162867 0.414644 1.531276 18.599050
2025-03-23 0.027357 0.045306 0.080689 0.168634 0.447036 1.794974 30.205692